[pirateboy]

I put 2 units on Tennessee +7.5 as my only play so far. I expect to add 2-3 more games and some totals.

If you look at the UT/LSU game without any of the emotional factors (Miles ----> Michigan, LSU heartbreak, UT momentum/rallying underdogs) then I think LSU beats Tennessee by 10+.

But how much do these intangible things matter? How much are they worth in handicapping? I have no idea, but I think enough for Tennessee to cover and possibly win.

LSU's been a bit suspect in deep coverage, but Tennessee doesn't throw a lot of deep stuff. Sometimes we do, but when we do, it's usually a sideline fly pattern. Very rarely this year have we thrown a deep post, much less for a completion.

One player that I think could make a difference is the elder Cottam brother. He was our #1 TE (Chris Brown is our #1 H-Back) before he broke his wrist. He was denied a 6th year, so he returned against Kentucky and had a huge catch and run that showed why he was our #1 TE. He's 6'8", 270 and runs a 4.6. He's a gazelle. He could be a big playmaker.

Arian Foster had a rough 2006, but he shined against LSU's better defense last year. Hardesty (#2 RB) might be limited, and our #3 is freshman Lennor Creer (who is the most promising RB I've seen at UT since Travis Henry, but he's young).

LSU has only played a couple of OLs as good as UT's - Florida and Arkansas, and I'm not sure where UT ranks in those 3.

Ainge didn't play more than 6 snaps against LSU last year on his bum ankle. He had a disastrous game in 2005 against them.

What else? Nobody in our secondary can cover Doucet. Eric Berry is more athletic, but a frosh.