Re: PNL Study Group Day 2: Stack Sizes
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SB: $61.30
Hero (BB): $68.85
UTG: $16.50
MP: $53.55
CO: $41.95
BTN: $20.00
Preflop: Hero is dealt 8[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 8[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (6 Players)
3 folds, <font color="red">BTN raises to $1.75</font>, SB folds, Hero folds
I assume it's $0.25/$0.50.
We as the big blind have to pay only $1.25 to win a possible 20.75$ (pot+his stack).
That looks a lot more than 10:1 we might need with our PP.
If he will always cbet like 2/3 of the pot we will get at least 0.25+0.50+1.75 + 2/3*(0.25+0.50+1.75+1.25) = $5 for our $1.25 when we hit our set (even if he stops betting after the flop and folds to any, even the smallest bet or raise on flop, turn and river).
Looks like a clear call to me.
Any other opinions?
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While I agree that the math sounds good for a call, you have to keep in mind that you will typically need to flop a set when they flop at least TPTK in order to win their entire stack. Most of the time, you're going to win a lot less than their stack when you flop a set.
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