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Old 11-01-2007, 01:17 AM
early325 early325 is offline
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Join Date: May 2006
Posts: 766
Default Re: QJs got there on river

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Jacbmw- When the dude double barrels here on this board and then checks the river, he is far more likely to have a hand with showdown value rather then air. To think KK/AA looks to c/c with these stacks sizes for PC or any other reason seems rather weak (and thus goes against his TAG moniker).


Also, opening from the HJ with 9x/8x does not go against the TAG read. My guess is that he has TT,JJ or JT himself the majority of the time. I would be more surprised if he turns up with KK/AA more often then A9 type crap.

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i disagree with how often you think he shows up with AA/KK here. i think he shows up with JT < 1% of the time. our hand looks like a draw or a 9. JT got there, and most nines aren't calling a third barrel here. AA/KK will c/c a good amount of the time on this river to get value from bluffs or thin VBs, while not getting stacked by JT or a strange 2-pair like Q8ss
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