Re: 2K6m. bottom set facing a big river push.
I like the fold.
We know he'll play 9J like this and we are argueing if we do or don't see two pair hands play like this, so that discounts them all a fair amount and even if they don't get discount it means the sets also don't get discount as the same logic applies to them as the two pairs.
So it's either:
- sets and two pairs don't play like this and we see gin everytime.
- Sets and two pairs do play like this and we have a small profitable call.
In case 1 we are screwed, in case 2 we have a small +EV call. So the ratio has to be highly favoured to case 2 which i don't believe it is so.
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