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Old 11-29-2007, 03:23 AM
tmcdmck tmcdmck is offline
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Join Date: May 2007
Posts: 299
Default Re: Omaha HI 50: To push turn or not?

[ QUOTE ]
Yeah it's pretty close with EV+/EV-. Let's look at that again. Since villain has $68.19, that's our effective stacks.

On flop pot is 9 dollars, I pot it and villain calls. Now pot is 27 dollars and opponent has paid 13.50 dollars so far. In other words he has about 55 $ left. If I bet 20 dollars on turn I have to call 35 more. So the pot grows from 27 to 47 to 102.

My pot odds are 102:35 and I my chances to improve are 4:1. By these numbers I am justified to call max 28 dollars bet. But since there is some kind of possibility that I am still leading it's pretty easy call.

[/ QUOTE ]

first of all your odds of improving are 3:1 (25%) :P

second of all yes it might well be a call if they shove with random crap, but if you are going to call a shove anyway you might aswell pot it, so it seems a bit besides the point to discuss it. the whole reason i suggested betting less than pot was to allow you to get away from a str8 slightly cheaply. it was probably a pretty meritless suggestion, i was just going through the options.
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