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Old 10-25-2007, 03:27 AM
mojed mojed is offline
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Join Date: May 2007
Posts: 98
Default Re: NL10: top pair top kicker, played flop weak again

[ QUOTE ]
Flop is a definate PSR. Contradicting the first response, I think its fair enought to assume this villan's pf3bet range is at least JJ+,AK without other reads.

Against this range we have about 2/3 equity. Calling flop is out of the question imo.

Text results appended to pokerstove.txt

21,780 games 0.109 secs 199,816 games/sec

Board: 4d 4s Ks
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 64.598% 51.78% 12.82% 11278 2791.50 { AdKd }
Hand 1: 35.402% 22.58% 12.82% 4919 2791.50 { JJ+, AKs, AKo }

[/ QUOTE ]

The problem is, we aren't ahead of the range that calls our flop raise, villain likely mucks JJ and QQ (and TT if it's in his range). We are WA/WB, so I agree with the flop call, with the intention of extracting some value from underpairs on later streets. On turn, I'd reevaluate and muck, the Q has brought a second overpair to TT and JJ, so I doubt villain would fire again with these and QQ just filled up.
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