Re: New Thread On Sklansky Extrapolation Question
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the answer to david's question is such a clear "yes" that im a bit bewildered by all the controversy and debate it's causing. if you want to say it's unrealistic or situation-specific, fine. but so far as the actual question is concerned, it's a resounding "yes" that Y is probably true for any given question.
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It seems strange to do a survey, discover that most super-geniuses think Y is false and then conclude that it's true because even more geniuses think it is false and an overwhelming number of dumb people agree.
I still dont think it's justified to claim it is probably true based on a meta-trend. I think it's more likely an odd property of Y itself which leads clever people astray.
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