Re: Simple Question
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4) i agree with your pfr/high flop comment, but i'm not sure how it relates to my comment. obviously a decent lp villain raises a subset of the instances of this situation -- the interesting question is what ratio, imho.
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My only point is that we should be planning on calling any raise, so in this instance we shouldn't be worried about about getting bluff-raised off our big draw (we could even be ahead sometimes). The only real worry is that our opponent is going to fire a second barrel on the turn when it pairs. The board only pairs 9/45 times. Even if we make a bad fold 10% of the time when it pairs, then we are only making a bad fold about once every 45 turns. And its not like we're going to be folding incorrectly with 90% equity. So it would be really annoying to make a "bad" fold on the turn, but it wouldn't be a very costly one in the long run.
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