Re: Wait! Wait! - A Perfect Example?
<font color="blue"> lol, you are supposed to switch. Assuming Monty knows where the car is, if he doesn't then it doesn't matter if you switch or not. But this problem is more commonly presented as Monty knowing where the car is, which means switching doors = 66.6% win rate. Your friend is right. lol. </font>
You misunderstood. I KNOW you're supposed to switch! My friend can only see the merit in switching if I use 100 doors as an example (it's much clearer that if you choose 1 door out of 100, and someone (who knows where the car is), eliminates the other 99, then you should switch). It's more difficult to illustrate this using just 3 doors.
But with just 3 doors my friend insists it's a 50/50 proposition and it doesn't matter if you switch or not.
But we're off the point. Does it make sense to you that if one thinks illogically about something, that he has a greater chance of being wrong, than if he uses a game theory type of approach?
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