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Old 11-20-2007, 03:09 AM
theAMOG theAMOG is offline
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Join Date: Sep 2007
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Posts: 301
Default Re: Wait! Wait! - A Perfect Example?

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The Monty Hall problem!

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Is quite simple really, after hearing the explanation anyone who disagrees with it is pretty dumb imo.

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You would think. But I know someone who just can't get his head around it. I've explained it over and over. He will even agree that if we used 99 doors he should switch!

Again, some people just cannot think logically about a given problem. I'm like this myself with some problems (although in my case, it's just that I don't understand how to work out the solution, and if I think about it, this is also the case for the person I just mentioned).

But my main point is that an irrational thought process is more likely to arrive at a wrong answer than if we were to choose an answer at random. Am I wrong about this?

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lol, you are supposed to switch. Assuming Monty knows where the car is, if he doesn't then it doesn't matter if you switch or not. But this problem is more commonly presented as Monty knowing where the car is, which means switching doors = 66.6% win rate. Your friend is right. lol.
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