Re: NL $200 KQs Nut FD vs Reraise
I would not pot the flop, I would bet $20-22.
How to react vs this c/r comes down to how often this is a draw/combo draw. I don't think this is a combo draw that often from a solid reg this deep, there's not many combo draws possible and at least 50% of them has us beat already. I think this is A9+ most often against which we have less than 38% equity. I like calling, keeping the other player in with a fd or whatever he holds, I wouldn't mind him pushing after we call giving us better odds when calling the 3-ways shove.
So I like calling and hitting one of our 11 nut outs, we're getting 2.3:1 immediate with a chance of even better if the 3rd player calls. We need about 3.2:1 immediate if we have 11 outs and thus we need only like $80 in implied odds to call having 240 behind vs the reg.
Call>shove>fold imo.
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