Re: How fast do different PFR% converge?
The SD of someone's PFR% = sqrt((1-p)*p/n)
So it converges pretty fast, especially when a player's PFR is low.
But this assumes that the events are independant when they're not. If someone is raising that little they can easily notice other players' PFR tendancies and adjust. Or maybe he decided to mix things up or recognized a special situation, etc.
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