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Old 10-30-2007, 11:41 AM
centris centris is offline
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Join Date: Jul 2006
Posts: 232
Default Re: ***NBA FUTURES THREAD***

I don't know any thing about the NBA, but I want to get a little action down so I took pinny's line as the true line, assumed a Poisson distribution and then just looked for value at the two books I have right. Here are the plays:
BOS u50 2.2u to win 2u (bodog)
DEN u49.5 .952u to win 1u (bodog)
DET u50.5 1.15u to win 1u (bodog)
POR u31 .952u to win 1u (5dimes)
WAS u41 1.575u to win 1.5u (bodog)

The number of units are based on the relative value according to pinny. This system also likes the following plays but only marginally:
ATL o38.5 -105 (bodog)
HOU u53.5 -115(5dimes)
LAC o30.5 -120 (bodog)
NY o36 -120 (bodog)
SEA o28 -115 (bodog)
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