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Old 11-30-2007, 10:16 AM
Lego05 Lego05 is offline
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Join Date: Mar 2006
Posts: 3,477
Default Re: 50nl 6max: 66 in 3bet pot

[ QUOTE ]
To everyone saying fold PRE flop can someone show me some math or a pokey thread or something, i haven't checked up on this part of my game for a while but as far as i see PF,
we are paying $5.25 to win $10

Our equity is 33% against JJ+; AKo; AKs.

isn't this around the right price?

[/ QUOTE ]


Hero's not all-in. Hero's gonna have to put more money in post-flop.


You need to on average make 11.7 times your pre-flop investment in order to profitably setmine.


Now here: there is $10 in the pot and villian has $44 behind so it's a possibility to win $54. Hero needs to call $5.25. 5.25 times 11.7 = $61.425. So hero needs to on average get $61.50 in the pot when he flops set in order to profitably call pre-flop to set mine, but there's only $54 in play. So there isn't even enough money in play for calling pre-flop to be profitable (we don't even need to think about opponent's range and how likely he will be to pay us off what we need) - this is an easy fold, not even enough money in play to cover the implied odds hero needs.
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