Thread: I folded!
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Old 09-26-2007, 04:45 PM
Heisenb3rg Heisenb3rg is offline
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Join Date: Nov 2005
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Default Re: I folded!

Nah I disagree with most people here, dont bet the turn, what's an UTG range folding on this turn?

He easily could be planning to raising all sorts of his semi bluffs like KQo with a spade etc, low pair FSD, Ax etc

I think the probability of you drawing dead is very slim because any flush draw in UTGs range had FD + overs on the flop, so is probabily popping it up there.

I think you have 6 outs the vast majoirty, probabily weighted to almost 7.
However the J is now no longer to the nuts (KQ) and your going to 4 bets when this happens.

You probabily are getting 2 bets the majority of the time on the river, so my guess is your implied odds are in the 1BB range or so.

I think its a very very close call
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