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Old 10-29-2007, 05:02 AM
Schiester Schiester is offline
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Join Date: Sep 2007
Location: New Zealand
Posts: 298
Default Re: 25NL FD+SD against a shortie

SB has 4ish left behind him. He's almost definately ahead at this stage and is pot committed.

You're not going to get any value from disguising your draw with a big raise and you're certain to get called (FE=0).

You've got around 25% equity if he's got 2pair or better (i.e. worst case scenario) and you need to make up 17.6% of the pot.

I'm calling here and shutting down if I don't hit one of my 11 outs.
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