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Old 07-11-2007, 09:12 PM
TarHeel100 TarHeel100 is offline
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Join Date: Nov 2005
Location: Tobacco Road
Posts: 380
Default Re: 1/2 FR on stars, A3s hitting 2pair on 3suited at turn, fold river

I'm not folding Aces Up on the river for 8.25:1 odds against an unkown. You will lose the majority of the time but against an unkown, I don't think it's unreasonable to say you win 12% of the time.

Yes, you are beat a lot here, but we have no idea what kind of player Villain is. If he sucks, he could have made this play with AK. It's even possible he has QJ. There is also no guarantee he has a flush.

Edit to add: Even if you are only good say 5% of the time, I think it's worth that small -EV to get some information.
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