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Old 11-27-2007, 10:56 AM
sh58 sh58 is offline
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Join Date: Mar 2007
Location: brighton
Posts: 1,895
Default Re: Never C-betting with air.

not Cbetting is 0EV. so we are only interested in Cbetting air if it is higher than 0EV.

we can quickly calculate that:

people miss flops 2/3 of the time. so if you make a Potsized bet when you miss, (assuming they fold if they miss and that if called you are drawing dead and shutdown) it will have to work 50% of the time to break even. they will fold 66% of the time because they have also missed.

so you can see that it is +EV.

this really is the simplest way of thinking about it, you can go into alot more detail about it, but this will suffice imo
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