Re: 400NL: Over pair, ugly flop, semi-deep.
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Fold and bet way less on the flop.
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If I'm going to bet way less, why wouldn't I just check?
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The same reason why you bet now? You're committing yourself to the pot. Bet 100, get him to peel with worse (and believe me, a guy like this probably has lots of random stuff that will see a turn).
By betting less, we also entice him to call instead of raising his draw, we don't inflate the pot as much, we get more value out of hands, and we can move away easily from scare cards.
Or you can check. but potting is the worst option if you're not prepared to stick it in now.
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