Re: Heads up vs. Tuan Le
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i think you are vastly vastly ahead of his range here, and with these stacks, i think a shove is far preferable to "seeing what falls on the turn"
i think it's a great two-way bet in that he folds a couple worse hands like better tens, T8, JT, QT quite often. but i think far more often he's priced in to call his 15 outer hand when he would have actually c/f had he missed on the river. i like a shove much much much more than a call, i think the only question is between shove and fold.
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I'm confused, it sounds like you are saying its a good thing he is priced in to call and will make a +ev call?
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he will be +EV to call for the pot, but any chips we get in, we get in as 2:1 favorite for 1:1 on our money so yes we want to put as many chips in as possible in that case. the main point being the assumption that he check/folds if he misses.
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