Re: LO8
This is probably one of those rare occasions where I disagree with both you and Buzz. (I must be wrong, then!=) But, I'll tell you why I feel this way anyway...
Howzit, you and Buzz feel that had you 3 bet the flop, you probably would've received more information. But, you said yourself that, if the button has a 2-way draw (like TP/TK with a wheel draw combo, for example), then he's going to play it aggressively here. So, I don't think the flop reraise is going to give you all that much, and to where it would help you to play the turn card with any more preciseness(is that a word?). Anyway...
You also said, that, even if he did flop a 2-way draw, his tendency would be to check behind on the turn unimproved. So, when you do bet the turn and he raises you...you're no good! And, I can't believe that you and Buzz think you are! The way you described him, he either has 3 Aces or top two pair along with either the nut flush draw and/or a really good low draw. I can't put him on just top pair with a nut flush draw because he wouldn't be raising you on the turn.
The river King is an awful card for you, because he has to know that if you have top two, you're not folding, and, if he just rivered top two, then he's probably good, hence the bet. In order for him to fire another bet, he has to have you beat *going by your description of him*. I mean really, what are you giving him in this spot, Aces with a Q/Ten kicker?
You may have had MP crushed, but there's still a third player involved who never backed down to you. I don't like a river call one bit. Let me rephrase that because that's not exactly what I mean. I think, you may have to call the river due to pot size, but that has been my point about this hand. And, I know you disagree, but in this spot, given the whole situation...my goal would be to keep the pot small.
|