Re: 15/30 Top two multiway
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leading this river seems pretty awful to me.
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interesting. why?
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your hand looks like AK when you check the river, how can he NOT bet a worse two pair here? by the same token, if you lead you will get shoved on by hands that beat you and not get to a showdown (not that he's bluffing here enough), and he may even fold two pair to your lead, since you're bluffing 0% of the time and should be value betting a worse hand (a one pair hand) somewhere very close to 0% of the time.
now whether or not you should CR the river is close. imo it depends on whether or not this guy is going to be just calling the flop with the set. if you have any inclination that he would always raise a set on this flop, i can see Cr'ing the river.
if not cc and lead both get one bet in, but this way we always get to showdown.
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