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Old 11-01-2007, 10:32 PM
SNOWBALL SNOWBALL is offline
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Join Date: Jan 2005
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Default Re: Does any street make sense?

[ QUOTE ]
Bay101 20/40

I have K[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]Q[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] in BB.

Loose raiser opens UTG. This means AT/A9+, KJ/KT+, probably 66+ ish range. Probably wouldn't open Q high here.

Folded to button loose-passive-fish who cold calls, I call in BB.

Flop is A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]K[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]8[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]. Checked to UTG who bets, fish calls, I check-raise because I'm ahead of most of UTG's hands and I don't think button has an A. UTG 3-bets, fish calls, I call.

Turn is K[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]. I check, UTG bets, button raises. I look at UTG who looks genuinely concerned. I just call, because if I raise I get 2 more BB out of button, if I just call I have a chance to milk an extra BB out of UTG and then 2 more from fish on river for a total of 3 BB. And in the rare event UTG actually has AK and button has 88 or something, I can potentially save monies.

UTG folds.

River is A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]. I bet...

Does any street make sense here?

[/ QUOTE ]

even if the 3rd player weren't in and we knew UTG was firing 100% of his PF range, we would still be an equity dog


111,870 games 0.005 secs 22,374,000 games/sec

Board: As Kh 8d
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 47.587% 43.69% 03.90% 48873 4363.00 { KsQc }
Hand 1: 52.413% 48.51% 03.90% 54271 4363.00 { 66+, A9s+, KTs+, A9o+, KTo+ }

Add that to the fact that we are giving him every opportunity to play perfect against us by CRing, and your CR becomes even worse. So yeah, flop CR = nonono
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