Re: Middle pair, ass end & BDFD . . . dump it?
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Why do you think UTG has AA or KK?
Why not 77 or 55?
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It's possible. But like I said, he's prone to attempt a LRR with AA/KK, and since that failed, his postflop actions fit the pattern of trying to ram through a big pair. I don't think he plays a set so straightforwardly, even with the threatening board. He's too much of a goober.
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March, I don't understand why you're so fixated on AA/KK. Srsly? "He limped UTG so he MUST have AA/KK"? His actions also fit TP, UI overcards, overpairs, a wide range of holdings.
As to the river, your decision to check-and-see saved you a bet in this case, but will usually cost you two. Bet/fold! As played, just fold. This is wonky-straight vs. boat waay more than 10% of the time and nobody seems to care about trips.
Oh, wait, it's all clear, now! You DID fold, UTG DID have AA, and MP showed down 63o!
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