Re: A river c/r bluff
thanks for all the replies. to respond to a few of them:
I thought villain has a draw here a huge amount (often a draw that hit that J on the turn). I don't think he even bets a T on the river (and if he does he folds to the c/r) and figured he'd probably fold a J as well.
FWIW if I got to the river this way with a monster hand I think leading is bad and would generally always c/r.
That said my range of hands that c/r this river for value but also flat call the flop and check the turn is not enormous. I'd do it with QQ+ sometimes, JJ and JT and J9 often, a lower set somewhat less often. I think all this is fairly standard -- so while villain can certainly imagine this being a bluff, he also knows it's quite plausible for me to have a strong hand here too.
will post results in a bit...will let the morning crowd comment if they want first.
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