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Old 11-27-2007, 04:05 PM
Runner Runner Runner Runner is offline
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Join Date: Jun 2003
Location: Better then Elezra
Posts: 749
Default Re: hows this for a teaser?

I'm too lazy, but someone use the search function........in a previous wong thread someone here ran the numbers and found that teasing from -3 to +3.5 was at least breakeven in NFL over past 15 years. Teasing from -3 -120 or -125 with a line expected to go higher would therefore be +EV.

It does not look appealing to tease thru the zero, but you make up for it by teasing thru the most important number (3) twice.

Also, I like the KC leg of the teaser because he is teasing a Home Dog (best subset) with a historically good homefield advantage off the 4 and through the 6,7 and 10, and also because the tooth fairy told me it would work.
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