Re: Turning a -EV draw into a +EV lead (micro theory)
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Agree with boz that fold equity is almost null in micros. I will only lead out on the flop in such a situation if I have my reads firm on the villian. He's gotta be really weak tight, with his postflop aggression below 0.6-0.8. Or else, leading out would be just spewing my chips away. And if he called me on the flop, most of the time I wont' try leading again on the later streets to bluff him out. My first attempt to steal has failed with a SB, in a small pot, and I won't wanna spew again on a BB street.
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I also agree with boz, but i think in this situation (with a draw and an uncoordinated board) leading is better than conceding the pot 100% of the time by checking.
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