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Old 11-26-2007, 02:17 PM
spivey spivey is offline
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Join Date: Feb 2007
Posts: 1,645
Default Re: Nut flush river bet NL 100

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i think your hand is rarely good in this spot

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Nobody's arguing with that. Luckily, it only has to be rarely good to make this a call.

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whats the point in having a read if you arent going to use it? It doesnt matter if hes getting 5:1 on his money if he isnt winning 1 time in 6, its a bad call.

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I think that 1 in 6 times he could have a worse flush. It may very well be a fold though.

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so 1 time in 6, a loose passive has at best the 3rd nut flush, that he was too scared to bet on the turn acting last, that he then decides is worth a 3 bet all in on the river?

Everyone whos calling this bet, please estimate for me the % chance you are winning....im curious how often you guys think we are good here

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If he has a flush, he didn't check it back on the turn because he was scared. He did it because he's a donk. And tying into that, checking this turn is awful OP.
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