View Single Post
  #5  
Old 05-28-2007, 09:28 AM
Abdullaev Abdullaev is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Posts: 98
Default Re: fold 22 preflop?

I agree that this is an easy fold, but I want to tell you my thought process in deciding whether it is. Maybe it's bad math on my part. First, you're about 7 1/2 to 1 to hit your set on the flop. When it gets back to you, you have to put in four more bucks. (Your first fifty cents is already in the pot.) So in order to make it positive expected value, you need to win at least 30 bucks (7.5 times four) from the other players if you hit. And that's assuming that you don't have a set over set situation, so it's surely more than the 30. Do you think you're going to get that much? One dude only has a $14 stack.

More important, you don't even know if you will end up putting in only four bucks preflop. The original raiser could come over the top and then you're screwed.

Really though, on this particular hand I wouldn't really give it that much thought. It's too clearly a fold.
Reply With Quote