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Old 11-29-2007, 03:20 AM
roggles roggles is offline
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Join Date: Jul 2007
Posts: 545
Default Re: PL100 fullhouse reraised on turn

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I would raise the river. I expect to find Q8 more often than QQ here. You guys think villain wouldn't play 8Q or 89 the same way here? So, just calling river is bad... he is never folding a FH

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QQ, Q8, and 88 play the hand like this (98 if he's spewy).

We beat one of those.

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Ok, but there is one 88, three QQ and six Q8. Assuming he plays all these hands the same, which I think most people does, Q8 is much more likely than QQ and 88.

I don't think your analogy is any good. It's very likely that someone holds the A high flush, so we fold. In hold em it's much less likely that people have the nuts, so we play accordingly ...

If we can't shove the river here, we should fold the turn, since the pot is relatively small and villain's hand range hasn't changed between the turn and river.
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