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Old 11-29-2007, 11:51 AM
Albert Moulton Albert Moulton is offline
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Join Date: Jan 2005
Location: Live Full Ring NLHE
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Default Re: NL100: 76s OTB. Fire 2nd barrell on turn? Ok to bet river here?

On the river, you can't win unless you bet since if you check and he had a missed FD you'll probably lose to his high-card, even if it's only 8-high. So, if he folds a better hand (i.e. 8-high busted FD) at least 37% of the time, then this is +EV.

So, I think betting on the river is good. I'm wondering if betting less might be better. How little can you bet to get no-pairs and pairs lower than Qx to fold? If you can bet as little as $10 to accomplish that objective, then $10 would be better than $16. So, I might have bet less. But I wouldn't just check behind and give up to what might very well be a no-pair busted flush draw.
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