[Jeremy517]

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What is baffling is that you are using this fact to arrive at a conclusion so far off from what polls, gambling sites and pundits are saying.

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BTW, at this point, Intrade, Iowa Electronic Markets, etc investors aren't necessarily predicting who will win, but rather who they can make off of by selling the contract at a later date. Even though I don't think Hillary can win the general election, if you don't think I'd buy into her for the right price (to be sold at a later date for a profit), then you are fooling yourself.

Regarding pundits, some pundits are saying the same thing that I am.