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Old 11-11-2007, 06:07 PM
bills217 bills217 is offline
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Default Re: Week 12 NCAA Early Lines Thread

Iggy's thoughts from the other thread:

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Northwestern at Illinois -10
Duke at Notre Dame -7.5
Ohio State -4 at Michigan
West Virginia -3 at Cincinnatti
Boston College at Clemson -7
Kentucky at Georgia -4.5
Oregon -16.5 at Arizona?
Hawaii -10 at Nevada?

The Hawaii and Nevada lines in particular are really hard to figure. I'd put a fair line on Hawaii/Nevada under a TD, but the public seems to love to bet up Hawaii and I'm not how big of an adjustment there will be for that here. Oregon should be favored by 20 according to Sagarin, but they probably aren't quite as good as that number would indicate. I could see this opening anywhere from 14 to 18.5.

Edit: I completely forgot about the Brennan injury. If he's questionable for Friday, we probably won't even see a line until Wednesday. If he's out, I'd put a fair line at Nevada -3.

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