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Old 11-15-2007, 05:48 AM
tagWAG tagWAG is offline
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Join Date: Jul 2007
Posts: 49
Default Re: Big vs Small Mistakes

[ QUOTE ]
FOLDING EQUITY in a big pot.
Effective stacks $200.

Hero raises to $7 with 8[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 9[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] from UTG+1:. Villain calls from the button.

FLOP ($17) 6[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] T[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 2[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]
Hero bets $13. Villain calls.

TURN ($43) 6[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] T[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 2[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 3[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]
Hero checks. Villain bets $30. Hero raises to $150.

I'm too tired to do the math, but your FE is huge here and just calling the turn would be a huge mistake even though you're getting good odds since our EV against his calling range is still pretty decent.


[/ QUOTE ]

This is villain dependent, but on a T high board like this where the river can bring so many potential scare cards, I would be tempted to c/c the turn with a view to putting out a river pot size bluff on any non club 4,5, T, Q, K or A. This line may even have more FE than a turn c/r against villains who don't like calling $100 psbs on the river without tp.

But if we are c/c turn a view to folding river ui, then c/r turn is obv better.
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