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Old 11-26-2007, 05:52 PM
CalledDownLight CalledDownLight is offline
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Join Date: Jan 2007
Location: burning money in non-ring games
Posts: 4,541
Default Re: NL 100: AKo Squeeze

Ok, I'm just going to do the math really quickly like I would do it in hand so these numbers are rough estimates. Remember, I'm talking about CO with a hypothetical range. I don't think this range is accurate for either player. When he calls the pot will be about $95 after rake. You have contributed $37.30 more to this. That is about 38% of the pot so that is your breakeven equity if you're called 100%. You are 50% vs. half his range (QQ), 30% vs. 1/4 of his range (KK) and 15%ish vs. 1/4 his range (AA). Thus you have about 36% equity. This equity holds true if this is the calling range for CO too, but you're going to need more equity to breakeven, but should also have more FE. Thus, if they both fold 10% of the time you make up the $2 you lose in AI equity and gain $1 more from the $30 of dead money in the pot.
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