Re: 2-7 TD stats checkup
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I'm interested in this hand since I probably would have played the river same as him. Is the reason it's an easy value bet because you could be standing pat with anything up to a Jack? Should he call if raised?
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No, I'm not pat on a J after the first draw, but I am pat on any 9x or better. Of that range, I'm usually checking back 87432 and worse against a player I think is decent and I have no further history against. I would valuebet any 86 or better. So by check-calling he always loses a bet if he's beat, but never gets a bet if he has the best hand. This ignores the times that I'm snowing, but I do that a pretty low % of the time anyway.
If he bets I may make a crying call with a hand he beats. I can be a station sometimes, especially against an opponent who can be tricky.
He has a pretty easy fold to a raise.
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