[Foucault]

[ QUOTE ]
Sometimes you're pretty sure what they got.
But how do you know if they're willing to fold?

Cash game online.

You: middle pair

You open raise two off the button.
Button calls, all others fold.

Flop: AsKdKh

You bet a little over half the pot.
After 10 to 15 seconds the other guy calls.

Now you know he has an ace with a
lousy kicker. But you don't know if he is
willing to fold to more pressure?

So do you continue bluffing?

[/ QUOTE ]

I wouldn't recommend trying to bluff a player you consider a calling station off of top pair or better. These players are inclined to make their decisions based on the frequency with which you will hold a better hand than theirs, not the hand that you think your line is representing. In other words, they aren't going to think, "He wouldn't triple barrel without trips," they are going to think, "Pfffft there are only two Kings left in the deck and I have OMGTOPPAIRCALLCALLCALL."

I suggest looking for spots where you think the board is scary for your opponent's likely holding, such as the KQxx board when I thought my opponent had 88 or the like. You might get a guy off KQ when the board is QT976 with three diamonds because that is a scary board for his hand, but AKKxx is not a scary board for Ax. Your proposed bluff is relying on him interpreting your line as scary precisely because the board is NOT scary, and that is more thinking than I like to give these guys credit for.

Remember, they are going to default to calling when in doubt.