Re: 1/2 line check with AK (big draw) against likely set
Do you not think he can have a AKc/ATc a lot of the time here? Min raise followed by small bet on the turn is v.weak IMO as a flop min raise with the goods is usually follwed by 3/4 pot or so, no? So he plays his big draw/ pair +draw 'aggressively' (for him- hes a nit remember) by betting 1/3 pot.
I think his range here is at least 35%% AKc/ATc/otheer random clubs and 65~% set. So I think there is definately a lot of value in betting river but I am insta mucking if he raises me given stats.
Thoughts?
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