Re: 400NL Set, uglyish board.
i keep going back and forth on this, and i think it's pretty close tbh.
arguments for calling:
1. you are getting 2-1.
2. if you are ahead, you are way ahead (90%+)
3. if you're behind, you're not that far behind (22%)
4. he is bad. who knows what he'd show up with here
which all seem pretty compelling, but the fact of the matter is, there are many players who fit your player description who won't go in here without the nuts, period. I mean, 55/ak occasionally put more action in on the flop given the drawy board, and they also might get scared off by the strength you've been showing and just opt to call down. what is his postflop aggression like? hopefully you should know by now if he's the kind of player that always goes call/call/call when big money goes in, almost regardless of his holding
also keep in mind both suited and offsuit JT's are in his range here, which comprise more hand combos than all sets/2ps combined.
i think this is a close fold, and if my gut was telling me to fold i'd probably listen to it.
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