Re: 200R, check or bet (if so how much) the river!!
I think check is best, it's certainly a close call, and I think in the moment with no reads or particularly important image the difference between betting and not betting here is timing tells.
All that being said, given that he raised UTG and got smooth called by UTG+1 is a "good TAG" really c-betting more than 2/3rds here with 66-88? Is he really calling off 1/2 pot bet on the river here with like AJ trying to pick off a busted FD much more often than he's just slowing down when the turn pairs the board with JJ/QQ/AA?
Against a good TAG I think as a default we have to prefer checking behind IMO.
|