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Old 05-11-2007, 05:55 AM
Verde Verde is offline
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Join Date: May 2006
Posts: 272
Default Re: JTo otb, simple turn spot

Probably is bad, and my default play is to call and fold the river UI.
Just want to hear all the reasons for not raising.
If he 3bets it's terrible, true, guess we have to call due to the odds gettin 9-1. Then fold the river UI, but if he hit we gain at least one extra bet.

Help me out if my estimations or presentation is wrong and/or useless... But this is how I think he would play his possible hands.

A bare ace he'll call 100%: Pretty bad, but we have outs and can use it to value raise in other hands.
A5 he'll 3bet 20% and call 80%...?: Really bad, but we have outs to the nuts or trips
AJ, AK, a set, 3bet around 90%..: Really bad, but 4 outs
A pocket pair below Jacks will call 20% fold the rest.: Good the times he calls.
A draw might call but that's what we would want.: Good
A bluff will fold, we wont get bluffed out the pot.: Good
A Jack will mostly fold, he probably wouldn't invest more money anyway. : OK
QJ won't fold but we prob wouldn't get more money from him anyway. : Bad
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