Thread: Is my calc OK?
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Old 11-17-2007, 10:21 PM
sixhigh sixhigh is offline
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Default Re: Is my calc OK?

Difficult to figure what you mean...

If i get it correct your in the CO with KQo, it's folded to you and you assume the players behind you will call your shove only with 99+, AJ+ and everyone has you covered. In this case you will get called approx. 15% of the time ( 1-(1-5.4%)^3) (ignoring the cases where two or more people call your shove). Against this range you will have ~71% equity. So the EV for this move will be:
EV = 85% * (+1200) + 15% * (29% * (+10800) + 71%*(-10000)) = +425.

But I doubt 99+, AJ+ are realistic ranges. And whether raise/folding is better than shoving we'd need some more informations on the other players. How aggressive are they, i.e. how likely is it they resteal light if you open to 2,000? ...
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