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Old 10-11-2007, 12:20 PM
Overseer55 Overseer55 is offline
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Join Date: May 2007
Location: Canada
Posts: 107
Default Re: Really good river, but now he raises!?!

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Every time I 3 bet here and tell myself I will fold to a 4 bet they do in fact 4 bet and I talk myself into a call. I would just call, I expect a weak ace would play exactly as he did.

-DeathDonkey

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Agreed. His AF is 0.8. In my experience, a normal player's river AF is usually less than their average AF...

I'd say that it's ~70% chance that he has an Ace (weak kicker), ~15% chance he has a Jack, and ~15% that he's bluffing. The only time 3-betting is profitable is if he has a Jack.
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