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Old 03-15-2007, 11:40 AM
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Join Date: Jul 2004
Location: DeucesCracked!
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Default Re: A bit of a playalong from a video hand of mine..

[ QUOTE ]
I (personally) check with the intention of folding if it's one back to me.

I tried to put villains on a range of hands, given your reads. I put it into PS:

Board: Js 9d 2d
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
BB: 52.557% 52.14% 00.42% 12793101 102521.00 { 77+, A7s+, KTs+, QTs+, JTs, KTo+, QJo }
MP: 29.298% 28.88% 00.42% 7086138 102521.00 { 77-55, A7s-A2s, K8s-K5s, Q7s+, J8s, T8s, 98s, ATo-A7o, KTo-K9o, Q9o, J9o, T9o }
You: 18.146% 18.15% 00.00% 4452356 0.00 { 4d4h }

So I guess over this range, we have an 18.15% chance (~4.5:1) of either retaining the best hand or improving to the best hand by the river. What this is supposed to tell me I don't know. I just act like I know what I'm talking about sometimes.

[/ QUOTE ]

Just for general reference, it's important to note that my equity is only that poor when MP's range is actually that narrowly definable. When his handrange is that narrow, he's almost always calling or raising that flop, but when he folds this flop, his handrange is unimportant in equity calculations. Just a thought. [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]

Rob
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