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Old 10-20-2007, 03:02 PM
baltostar baltostar is offline
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Join Date: Jan 2006
Posts: 541
Default Re: Caesar\'s $1500: Help, I\'m Addicted to Suited Connectors

m = 2650 / 150 = 17.67
implied odds = 2800 / 200 = 14

Fold pre. You don't have big enough implied odds to play a SC for stacks (which for this M is too likely to be how the line goes to discount it).

flop pot = 1250
stack = 2250

Betting is bad because you commit yourself to a line that has much worse reward/risk than avg for your M.

What is your table image? Would they believe open-push might be 2P set ? Or would they put you on SD ? MP1's raise looks to me like TT+, but you're saying he might do that with AK AQ ? Plus 2 of the stacks are largish. Seems too murky to open-push, but might work.

CRAI v 4 opponents seems problematic. By the time the action gets back to you you might be making a pot-size bet. I don't see the FE here.

Looks like you have to check and hope you're given decent odds to draw.
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