[ymu]

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Lol whatever. Folding must be correct b/c SNGPT says so!

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Agreed!

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This is one of those hands where the future matters - ICM doesn't incorporate that. It's not clear either way, but it's definitely not a clear fold.

To answer this definitively you'd need to do a simulation - run the bubble a few thousand times with the big stack pushing every hand and doing his best to keep shortie alive with everyone else acting as ICM suggests.