Re: *** Official FTOPS VI - Event #1 ***
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so if I was one of these guys...
If i was 4th or 5th I would play it out because the extra $5k is not THAT much of a difference to me and with one double up I am 2nd in chips. But if Im sitting in 3rd...i might be inclined to say "rules are rules, chop it up".
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If you go with my (bad) assumption that the players are 100% convinced that they'll finish in that order, yes.
But Dunk is right - you have to consider the full ICM equity calculation. (here it is again, a little clearer):
$92,890.7419--1st: 0.320--2nd: 0.268--3rd: 0.209--4th: 0.140--5th: 0.064
$80,577.7399--1st: 0.220--2nd: 0.226--3rd: 0.224--4th: 0.199--5th: 0.131
$80,133.9493--1st: 0.217--2nd: 0.224--3rd: 0.223--4th: 0.201--5th: 0.134
$67,329.2625--1st: 0.140--2nd: 0.160--3rd: 0.190--4th: 0.241--5th: 0.270
$59,730.3065--1st: 0.103--2nd: 0.123--3rd: 0.154--4th: 0.218--5th: 0.402
This table basically calculates the odds of finishing place based on current chips, and then calculates the equity based on the prize pool.
As you can see, if the pool was divided based on straight chip %, 5th place would be given $39k, but his equity is $59k right now.
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