View Single Post
  #11  
Old 11-12-2007, 05:43 PM
Stephen H Stephen H is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Feb 2005
Location: When life gives you pumpkins, make hatorade
Posts: 4,489
Default Re: Kelly Betting: Spread vs. Moneyline

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
First, the Kelly formula is a maximum of a growth function for your bankroll. The main thing to remember is to use log() of your growth (no I can't explain why, but that's the function to maximize).

[/ QUOTE ]

The Kelly criterion maximizes the geometric mean of your bankroll, which can be calculated using the natural log, so that is why. [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]

As for simultaneous bets, checkout Ganchrow's stuff at SBRForum:

http://www.sbrforum.com/Betting+Tool...alculator.aspx

[/ QUOTE ]

That's pretty freakin' cool. Wish I'd read this reply before hacking about with a simplified 8-identical bet model.
I have to admit I didn't even consider adding in parlay bets, which changes things significantly.
Reply With Quote