[StellarWind]

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It's very unlikely that these stats in particular came from the same player/bot. If the player's true stat is 65, then after 62K hands they will be within that ~.4 of the 65 95% of the time. It's about a one in ten million event that this player would have a 66 stat. It's virtually impossible for the stat to be 68 over the samples discussed. Of course, this type of analysis assumes things that may not be true such as static game conditions/inability of the bot to adjust. It also assumes that MH or FT didn't round 65.4 to 65 and 65.6 to 66. Even so, I felt it necessary to point out that appearances here maybe deceiving and that it's possible to draw the opposite conclusion from the data then is obvious from just looking at it.

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This is an interesting point. It demonstrates how the evidence released so far is an illustration of what FTP knows rather than an actual standalone proof of guilt.

In this specific instance the possible discrepency doesn't matter. FTP has access to the hole cards and will be working at that level. It's not going to be Fred's overall PF stats versus Joe's overall PF stats. It's how does Fred play T6s versus how does Joe play T6s. But naturally they haven't shared that level of detail with us.