Re: Flop bet
I get about a 23% chance that there are no queens in the 16 cards out against me given random hands. Someone might want to check my math on that. You can shade that down a bit given that a couple of the players are at least kind of selective and there's some worry about 99 as well, but I'd say a worst case scenario is that 85% of the time the field has a Q or better.
That said, I'd really like someone behind me to raise. Ideally with a 9 or worse, but if they have a Q, so be it.
Also, I didn't mention it because I don't think it matters much, but the biggest maniac is very unlikely to have a Q. From what I'd seen at that point, I'm pretty sure he was raising preflop with any single paint/any 2 suited.
Edited to add that the worst case scenario isn't very likely given the 3 checks in front of me. UTG would bet a queen, SB and BB would bet a queen at least some portion of the time.
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